Wednesday, August 23, 2017

DELINGPOLE  DOUBLES DOWN ON MOONWALK DOWN UNDER

HAVING BEEN CAUGHT  YESTERDAY TRYING TO PASS OFF TWO PR HACKS AS CLIMATE SCIENTISTS, BREITBART'S ANSWER TO  CARL SAGAN HAS BOUNCED BACK WITH  A GRAPH TRACABLE  ONLY TO A PSEUDONYM. IN ACTUALITY,  DELINGPOLE'S SOURCE, "STEVEN GODDARD" IS TONY HELLER:
You don’t need to be a scientist to see the hoax here: it’s there in blue and red. The blue is based on the raw data from weather stations in each of the U.S. states since 1990, which clearly shows a downward (ie cooling) trend. The red is what the data from these same stations shows after the climate fraudsters at NOAA have “adjusted” it. Now, instead of cooling it shows warming.
How do they get away with this stuff?

For the same reason a dog licks his balls.

Because they can.

At least they have been able to do so up till now.

Over to you, President Swamp Drainer…



Tuesday, August 22, 2017

THE CURSE OF BREITBART:GeoResJ JOINS SPICER & SCARAMUCCI

Those seeking "No" as an answer to dumb questions about climate change have long loved  Watts Up With That  for the gibberings of amateur statisticians, high amperage hypocrisy from K-Street shills, and the sustained hilarity of Watts' dividing science editing between an  Oklahoman  CO2  well driller, and a  building  contractor  in the Solomon Islands. For the past few years, it's faced competition in the Spin  Zone  from   Pay- For- Play blogs  open  access  journals  like GeoResJ,  featuring  ordinarily  unpublishable  items such as:

The application of machine learning for evaluating anthropogenic versus natural climate change

Time-series profiles derived from temperature proxies such as tree rings can provide information about past climate. Signal analysis was undertaken of six such datasets, and the resulting component sine waves used as input to an artificial neural network (ANN), a form of machine learning. By optimizing spectral features of the component sine waves, such as periodicity, amplitude and phase, the original temperature profiles were approximately simulated for the late Holocene period to 1830 CE. The ANN models were then used to generate projections of temperatures through the 20th century. The largest deviation between the ANN projections and measured temperatures for six geographically distinct regions was approximately 0.2 °C, and from this an Equilibrium Climate Sensitivity (ECS) of approximately 0.6 °C was estimated. This is considerably less than estimates from General Circulation Models (GCMs) used by the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC), and similar to estimates from spectroscopic methods.
While Breitbart's clueless climate science  guru  thinks  Abbot  & Mahrosy's  fueilleton  packs the biggest bang since the  runaway H-bomb that vaporised Elugulab, the  scientific  response  to  their theory  has  been underwhelming:
"This is basically nonsense." 

How  basic?

So  basic  that  GeoResJ 's  staid scientific publisher, Elsevier, has decided to ditch the journal for good:

GeoResJ  will  be  discontinued  from January 2018 and is closed to new submissions...

Authors wishing to find alternative jou
rnals to publish in may wish to use the Elsevier Journal Finder tool.


Neither author is a climate modeler. Abbot took his PhD " in association with the Pulp and Paper Research Institute of Canada." and has engaged  in basic research associated with the refining of crude oil, working at the Caltex oil refinery in Brisbane" while full time publicist and part time  water chemist Maharosy has worked at the Institute of Public Affairs since 2003.


Monday, August 21, 2017

                       NONE  DARE  CALL  IT  GEOENGINEERING

But Monday saw the daily rise in anthropogenic radiative climate forcing stopped in its tracks. and run backwards. For half a day, the moon's shadow took a bite out of total solar irradiance, and the Mother of All SRM Experiments carved an ungoverned track from the Aleutians across America, and out to the Cape Verde Islands.  

The eclipse abstacted some few megajoules per square meter from the day's total solar forcing but calculating the integral is not for the faint of heart, as it  must incorporate cloud albedo changes along the whole shadow track, but readers are welcome to try. Above are some model shapshots of what happened over land, and NASA has posted the whole animation


Sunday, August 20, 2017

                              THE  ECLIPSE  OF  REASON


Having seen two total eclipses, in Quebec in 1963, and in the Caribbean in 1998,  I  cannot overemphasize the importance of :
  • Getting to a viewing site dead in the middle of the centerline. 
  • Not forgetting to look at the rest of the sky.
We  were on the  nearest island,  about  ten miles distant, in 1998, and while the corona was spectacular, we experienced shorter totality, a bizarre dark green sky eerily recalling a Giotto fresco, and few stars visible on our side of the centerline between Antigua and Guadeloupe.
In contrast, from the dead center vantage of 1963,  the whole Solar System, from Mercury to Saturn was visible to the naked eye laid out in a spectacular straight line on both sides of the sun, in a  black sky backlit by the Milky Way- things of  unexpected and uneclipsed wonder. 

                                AT  GENERAL  MONCKTONICS,
                 PROGRESS IS OUR LEAST IMPORTANT PRODUCT


Watts' latest news is George White repeating Viscount Monckton's repetition of what George White said last year.

A Consensus Of Convenience


We publish this here, not to confirm that it is correct, but to stimulate the debate needed to determine whether or not it is correct or if it’s simply an exercise in curve fitting. ~ctm
George White, August 2017
Climate science is the most controversial science of the modern era. A reason why the controversy has been so persistent is that those who accept the IPCC as the arbiter of climate science fail to recognize that a controversy even exists. Their rationalization is that the IPCC’s conclusions are presented as the result of a scientific consensus, therefore, the threshold for overturning them is so high, it can’t be met, especially by anyone who’s peer reviewed work isn’t published in a main stream climate science journal. Their universal reaction when presented with contraindicative evidence is that there’s no way it can be true, therefore, it deserves no consideration and whoever brought it up can be ignored ..
Here's the orginal, based not on peer reviewed climate science-  The board of Monckton's ersatz "learned journal "  resigned in protest over its publication of White's  the bogus analogy to  circuit theory, but the same nonsense  the electircal engineer has been parroting  at WUWT and GWPF conferences since 2011:

SCIENTISTS ADMIT FAKE CLIMATE CHANGE PREDICTIONS

Breaking news: Major climate science error exposed!

At the recent high-level climate change conference in London, a fundamental error in climate science was revealed for the first time. 
The much-vaunted “climate consensus” turns out to have been wrong all along.
At the London conference, 80 Professors, 60 Doctors of Science and 40 other experts, including Piers Corbyn, brother of Britain’s opposition leader, who has a first-class degree in Astrophysics, were shocked to learn that the error, first introduced a generation ago when climate scientists borrowed feedback math from electronic network analysis without really understanding it, is the reason for their exaggerated predictions of how much global warming Man may cause.
Without that error, no one would ever have tried to pretend that global warming is a global crisis.
Once the error is corrected – which will happen when the paper describing it in mathematical detail is published in a leading scientific journal – the climate scare will be officially over.
Last year I published a paper in the learned journal Energy & Environment drawing attention to a problem deep in the math used by climate modelers to fabricate their profitable predictions of doom.
At that time I was hunting for the error that had caused the problem... A few weeks ago George White, an electronics engineer, contacted me to say that there were indeed several ... so grievous that the arrogant profiteers who have made fortunes out of pretending the science is settled could be thrown out of business overnight – and good riddance.

Saturday, August 19, 2017

        IF  YOU DON'T LIKE  THE WEATHER IN NEW ENGLAND,
                                 JUST  WAIT  62,000  YEARS.

       WATTS' LATEST  SURE-FIRE  FIX  FOR  CO2  FORCING

              A Deterministic Forecast of Future Climate Changes

By Renee Hannon
In my previous WUWT  post, I proposed a conceptual process model describing the influences of astronomical controls on interglacial warm periods and glacial cycles (Figure 1). The warm onsets with rapidly increasing temperatures are triggered by an increase in the eccentricity of Earth’s orbit, an increase in obliquity and an increase in summer insolation. The nearly concurrent increase in these astronomical forces is a necessary component for a significant interglacial warm onset... Summer insolation which retains the higher frequency signal of precession may modify warm duration patterns or influence stadial and interstadial occurrences.

As seen in past warming onsets, an increase in eccentricity, obliquity, and summer insolation are required. The next concurrent increase of these astronomical cycles is interpreted to initiate a future interglacial in approximately 62 kyrs from present day. This will terminate the current glacial cycle making it one of the shortest glacial cycles in the past 450 kyrs 

Friday, August 18, 2017

                               HIS FIRST  SCIENCE TUTOR

                             BETTER LATE THAN NEVER:


SINCE BREITBART PUNDIFICATOR AND ALL-ROUND SCIENCE CRANK JAMES DELINGPOLE'S DISASTROUS BBC RUN-IN WITH SIR PAUL NURSE,  HE'S BEEN AT A LOSS FOR AN  ON-THE-AIR  REMATCH WITH REASON.


HE'LL TURN 100 TWO SUMMERS HENCE
HIS PRODUCERS HIT ON INVITING A CONTRARIAN TOO FAMOUS TO IGNORE .AND TOO ANCIENT TO ARGUE  WITH, BUT BIT OFF MORE THAN DELINGPOLE  COULD CHEW IN ASKING  GRAND OLD  GAIAN  JAMES LOVELOCK  C.H. IN FOR A REMEDIAL SCIENCE CHAT -


     BUT  CANADA  DOESN'T  NEED  RHODE ISLAND  ANYWAY







Aug 15, 2017
Heat has been declining for decades despite government reports
Joseph D’Aleo, CCM, AMS Fellow
In the embarrassing NCA model-biased government report leaked by the NYTthe threat of model based future heat issues is greatly exaggerated. We live in the atmosphere not in a model world. The trend towards heat in the real world is clearly DOWN not up...The headlines from the mainstream media and Soros funded alarmist science organizations want you to believe heat is increasing and has become or will soon become deadly. 

Enlarged Courtesy of Tony Heller
Except in the west and despite a few brief intense heat spells most notably in July in the central, this summer has been relatively cool across the nation. Numerous friends and acquaintances from Colorado, Wisconsin, Georgia and the northeast have remarked at different times ‘it feels like fall’.
Unless you happen to be farther north, where it feels like Hell, because temperatures in the high  nineties have turned the Canadia Rockies into a blazing inferno :

More fire, more fury: Canada is ablaze amid record heatwave

Massive wildfires are raging in British Columbia and the Northwest Territories.





WILDFIRES PRODUCE HIGH CONCENTRATION OF AEROSOLS, SMOKE, AND HAZE (DARK ORANGE). CREDIT: NOAA
With temperatures toppling 100-year-old records, British Columbia’s raging wildfires have already set the record for the most acres burned. And it’s only mid-August. Meanwhile, the Northwest Territories have been experiencing their own Arctic heatwave, and equally devastating wildfires. One blogger pointed out that on Monday, the intense fires “rapidly expanded to consume a section of territory larger than Rhode Island in just one day.”

The thick smoke and aerosols led Environment Canada to issue health advisories last weekend for the Territories, and they re-issued warnings Monday for the worst-hit areas. And humans aren’t the only ones suffering: while adult animals know to flee the fires, younger ones don’t or can’t flee, especially young birds. “The heat is overwhelming them, particularly the past couple weeks have been really bad,” Sam Smith at Wildlife Rescue told CBC News

Wednesday, August 16, 2017

 PUTTING  THE SCOTCH VERDICT BEFORE  THE SCOTCH EGG

Pizzagate true or false? Verdict: likely both a real scandal AND fake news.

I’ve been hearing about “Pizzagate” for a while. Reading another tweet without hearing any media commentary I decided to try to have a look to find out how convincing, if at all, the “evidence” was.
The first thing I notice is that it’s pretty difficult to find any websites that are putting the case for Pizzagate being real. This is the typical censorship that we get from Google and their ilk. However I did find two sites:
  1. Wikileaks
  2. Massive Repository of Indisputable PizzaGate Evidence
The second I took as my “advocate for the prosecution”. This is full of snippets of biased evidence – for example repeating the reference to “Ping Pong” as if it were a reference to child sex, but ignoring that the restaurant owner’s name (appears to be) Mr Pong.
And because the article on “Pizzgate Evidence” was clearly trying to construe every possible piece of evidence in the worst possible light I chose as my test the least worst circumstances which would still be consistent with the evidence.

Main Non-Coincidental Evidence

  • 2007: Stratfor employee Chris Douglas asks, “Who all is in the Austin office today who is going to want pizza? We only have one slice and we need to know how thinly to slice it…” 
  • 2009: Stratfor discusses using same “waitresses” from President Barack Obama’s party in which $65,000 in “pizza” and “hot dogs” were flown to the White House.(archived version) This is against official White House policy.
  • February: Stratfor CEO George Friedman frustrated by not being told what “Pizza Party” codeword means
  • November: Stratfor employee Ben West asks if fellow employee Bayless Parsley is on list of pedophiles caught in recent sting
  • January: Tony Podesta asks John Podesta, “Would love to get a pizza for an hour? Or come over,” and tells him, “I’m seated with the kids so little wired"
  • September: John Podesta receives infamous email about “map that seems pizza-related” on a handkerchief of his

 Verdict

Clearly there is coded language being used. Whatever “Pizza” refers to can be used for an hour. And this “pizza” and “hot dogs” seems to be officially sanctioned with a massive price tag of $65,000. It is clear there is a scandal of some sort here. But I see nothing except coincidental symbols (in the “evidence” article) to suggest paedophilia. Yes the symbols are similar – but from other research I know how easy it is to find likenesses like this and for example I’ve certainly doodled a triangle with a spiral myself.
So there is a real scandal, so, why aren’t the press investigating the real scandal?
The answer is almost certainly because someone has deliberately set out to muddy the waters of a real scandal by linking it to something so bizarre that the Fearty press won’t touch it. This is just what I was suggesting in my article: The use of conspiracy theories to hide the truth.
The author studied physics, electronics and some philosophy at St.Andrews, has  an MBA from Strathclyde, was studying archaeology in Glasgow, worked in a variety of industrial manufacturing companies on a large range of projects, then decided to enter the new area of renewables, andv learnt Danish in order to “understand the competition” and was selected as a Green candidate for the Scottish Green party in 2003, but decided not to stand when the first candidate on the list refused to support his local hospital

          ANNALS OF SELF-DIAGNOSIS, DAILY MAIL DIVISION

DOMINIC LAWSON: A SPOOKY POLITICAL DIAGNOSIS OF DEMENTIA

  • Date: 14/08/17
  • Dominic Lawson, Daily Mail

I received a puzzling email from a doctor last week. It was headed ‘Climate Change’ and warned: ‘Your paps needs a dementia screening soon.’ Because of climate change?

Not exactly. Juergen Messner — that was the sender’s name — was referring to an interview my father Nigel Lawson had just given to the BBC, in which he said there had been no increase in ‘extreme weather events’ and that we should stop panicking about climate change.

Dr Messner, a registrar in trauma and orthopaedic surgery at an NHS teaching facility in Yorkshire, seemed to think my 85-year-old father’s opinions indicated that he was losing his mind to dementia.
He isn’t, as it happens — but I emailed Dr Messner to ask if, as a bone rather than a brain specialist, he was qualified to diagnose dementia. He replied with the garbled: ‘Assessing mental capacity is part of most clinical doctors.’

Tuesday, August 15, 2017

       POLITICO REPORTS EPA POLITICAL APPOINTEE FEARS
                        POLITICIZATION   OF  EPA  REPORT

From Politico via WUWT
Environmental Protection Agency chief Scott Pruitt has expressed doubts about carbon dioxide’s role as a major driver of climate change. | Chip Somodevilla/Getty Images
By EMILY HOLDEN                   Updated 08/12/2017 01:01 PM EDT
Environmental Protection Agency chief Scott Pruitt said his staff will gauge the “accuracy” of a major federal science report that blames human activity for climate  change  just  days  after researchers voiced their fears to The New York Times that the Trump administration would alter or suppress its findings.
“Frankly  this  report ought to  be subjected to  peer-reviewed,  objective-reviewed  methodology  and evaluation,” Pruitt told a Texas radio show Thursday. “Science should not be politicized. Science is not something that should be just thrown about to try to dictate policy in Washington, D.C.”
Pruitt, who has expressed doubts about carbon dioxide’s role as a major driver of climate change, also dismissed the discussions in Washington about manmade carbon emissions, calling them “political.”
The report’s authors implemented the 132 pages of suggestions from the reviewers, and now the Trump administration has one last opportunity to review the document before publication. Agencies are supposed to sign off by Aug. 18 and send their comments to the authors.
“It’s a much more extensive process than a usual peer review, which does not typically come out as a paperback book,” said Bob Kopp, a lead report author and climate scientist at Rutgers University.

Sunday, August 13, 2017

GOD DELIVER THE GEOENGINEERS FROM THE GREENHEADS  AND  GRANT THEY  BRING  PLENTY  OF  DEEP  WOODS  OFF









Luxury Maine Geoengineering Climate Conference


Guest essay by Eric Worrall
One hundred scientists gathered late last month in a luxury ski resort in Maine to discuss Geoengineering.
ROBINSON MEYER  The Atlantic  AUG 7, 2017 
Eric neglects to mention that the Gordon Conference in Newry Maine offers no skiing and less luxury in July, or that being  100  miles inland, fantastic voyages on cloud  generating ships were not on offer either.

Sunday River Plantation was settled in 1781 by Benjamin Barker and his two brothers. But the settlement was plundered in 1782 by Indians and abandoned. On June 15, 1805  the Plantation was renamed by settlers that had come from Newry in what is now Northern Ireland.

Hay was the principal crop, and by 1870 the population was 416. Today, it has fallen to 329, but features Sunday River Ski Resort in the winter and great discounts for summer science retreats.

Newry is famed as the site of  a  fiery 1960 KC-97 Stratotanker crash  and a 2012 TV episode, 'Sins and Secrets: Newry', telling of  the  2003 serial murders at a local B&B  that was passed over by the Gordon Conference organizers as the former host is now serving four consecutive life sentences. He was a citizen of Newry, but OTOH, it still has the  finest kind of  pegmatite geology.

Friday, August 11, 2017

          SINGER   PROTEGE'  OFF  TO   PYONGYANG   FOR
                                       CLIMATE   WAR   TALKS

HEARTLAND WILL  DISPATCH  DR. S.FRED SINGER'S PROTEGE'  TO  NORTH  KOREA TO EXPLAIN  HOW 
FIRE AND FURY, NOT CO2 , THREATEN  THE DEAR LEADER'S  CLIMATE OF FEAR


                                 HONI SOIT QUI MAL Y PENSE





Which brings me back to the current political situation. Right now progressives are feeling better than they expected to a few months ago: Donald Trump and his frenemies in Congress are accomplishing a lot less than they hoped, and their opponents feared. But that doesn’t change the reality that the axis of climate evil is now firmly in control of U.S. policy, and the world may never recover.